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Oil Prices Drop as Stronger U.S. Dollar and OPEC+ Output Outlook Weigh on Market

Date: 23-may-2025 | By: Nuztrend Team

Oil Prices Drop as Stronger U.S. Dollar and OPEC+ Output Outlook Weigh on Market

Oil prices edged lower on Friday, with global benchmarks Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) both posting notable losses. The decline comes amid a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising speculation that the OPEC+ alliance may increase crude production in the coming weeks.

Brent and WTI Both Post Declines

By market close, Brent crude futures were down 2.3%, settling at $64.07 per barrel. Meanwhile, WTI futures dropped 2.7%, ending the day at $60.81. The downturn erased much of the week's earlier gains and has rekindled volatility concerns among energy traders.

“The stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand. Combined with the fear of more supply from OPEC+, it's a double blow,” said Julian Marks, a senior energy strategist at Nexus Commodities.

U.S. Dollar Strength Pressures Commodities

The U.S. dollar index climbed to a one-month high on Friday, buoyed by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials and solid economic data. A stronger dollar typically weighs on oil and other dollar-denominated commodities by reducing purchasing power for non-U.S. buyers.

  • Dollar index rose by 0.6% against a basket of major currencies.
  • Commodity-linked currencies like the Canadian dollar and Norwegian krone weakened.
  • Gold and copper prices also faced pressure amid dollar strength.

OPEC+ Speculation Adds to Market Jitters

Reports circulated late Thursday suggesting that key OPEC+ members—led by Saudi Arabia and Russia—are considering a modest increase in oil output ahead of their next policy meeting. While not yet confirmed, the possibility of greater supply has already begun to influence futures trading volumes.

Traders are closely watching signals from OPEC+ technical committees and upcoming public statements from energy ministers. Any unexpected shift in policy could have far-reaching effects on prices heading into the summer demand season.

Outlook: More Volatility Ahead?

Analysts say the oil market is likely to remain volatile in the near term as macroeconomic indicators, central bank policy, and OPEC+ dynamics continue to collide. Energy investors are urged to brace for potential price swings, particularly in the run-up to the next OPEC+ meeting.

“Until there's clarity on both Fed policy and OPEC+ intentions, expect whiplash trading days,” noted energy economist Dr. Leila Zhang.

With Brent and WTI now both trading well below recent peaks, the market’s next moves will depend on whether demand can hold firm against these mounting headwinds.

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Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available information from various online sources. We do not claim absolute accuracy or completeness. Readers are advised to cross-check facts independently before forming conclusions.

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