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SBI Report: India to Benefit Amid Global Tariff Uncertainty & U.S. Trade Policies

Date: 17-mar-2025 | By: Nuztrend Team

SBI Report: India to Benefit Amid Global Tariff Uncertainty & U.S. Trade Policies

India Stands to Gain Amid Global Tariff Uncertainty – SBI Research Report

As trade tensions escalate globally, India is emerging as a potential beneficiary in the uncertain tariff landscape, according to a new report by State Bank of India (SBI) Research. The study indicates that India's diversified trade approach, Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), and strategic economic policies could shield it from major economic disruptions.

Impact of U.S. Reciprocal Tariffs on India

The reciprocal tariff plan announced by U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to impact global trade. However, the SBI report suggests that India's export decline may remain limited to 3-3.5%, thanks to its expanding trade partnerships.

Why India’s Exports Will Remain Stable

  • Export diversification: India is shifting its trade focus to newer markets, reducing reliance on specific regions.
  • Strategic trade routes: India is developing alternative shipping lanes, such as routes via the Middle East to the U.S..
  • Higher value-added exports: Instead of raw materials, India is exporting processed goods with higher profit margins.

India’s Growing Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)

Recent Trade Agreements Boosting Exports

To mitigate tariff impacts, India has signed 13 Free Trade Agreements in the last five years, focusing on boosting export-oriented domestic manufacturing. Key FTAs include:

  • India-UAE FTA: Strengthening trade ties with a key Gulf partner.
  • India-Australia FTA: Boosting bilateral trade in mining, agriculture, and technology.
  • India-UK FTA (Under Negotiation): Expected to increase trade by $15 billion by 2030.

Opportunities in Steel & Aluminum Trade

Despite new U.S. trade restrictions, India remains a significant player in the aluminum and steel export market.

Key Trade Insights

  • Aluminum Exports: India is among the top 10 aluminum exporters to the U.S., despite a minor decline in market share from 3% to 2.8% (2018-2024).
  • Steel Trade Deficit: India's trade deficit in steel goods with the U.S. stands at $406 million, but opportunities remain for increased exports.

How India Can Benefit from the Changing Trade Landscape

With global tariffs reshaping trade dynamics, India is well-positioned to leverage its strong manufacturing base and strategic agreements.

India’s Competitive Advantages

  • Robust Manufacturing: Government incentives are driving ‘Make in India’ to boost local production.
  • New Market Access: Expanding trade relations with Europe, Africa, and Southeast Asia.
  • Tech and Pharma Growth: India's dominance in IT and pharmaceuticals makes it less vulnerable to U.S. tariff policies.

Final Thoughts

The SBI report highlights that India's economic strategies, FTAs, and diversified exports make it resilient amid global trade disruptions. While reciprocal tariffs may cause short-term fluctuations, India is expected to emerge stronger and more competitive in the evolving world of trade.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available information from various online sources. We do not claim absolute accuracy or completeness. Readers are advised to cross-check facts independently before forming conclusions.

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