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Copper Prices Skyrocket in New York, Creating Record Gap with London Market

Date: 28-mar-2025

Copper Prices Skyrocket in New York, Creating Record Gap with London Market

The global copper market is witnessing a rare and significant price divergence between New York and London. As of March 2025, copper on the New York COMEX has surged to $5.374 per pound (approximately $11,840 per metric ton), while prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) sit around $9,893 per ton—nearly a $2,000 difference. [Source]

What’s Driving the Price Gap?

This widening gap is attributed to a mix of geopolitical tensions, trade policy shifts, and growing industrial demand:

  • Tariff Fears: The U.S. government is expected to impose new tariffs on imported copper, prompting domestic stockpiling and speculative buying. Traders are anticipating duties of up to 25%. [Source]
  • Supply Chain Issues: Shipping delays and reduced output from key producers like Chile have raised concerns over copper availability, especially in North America. [Source]
  • Industrial Demand: Surging global demand from electric vehicles (EVs), defense, and infrastructure sectors has added pressure to already tight copper supplies. Analysts expect a global deficit of 180,000 tons this year. [Source]

Similar Trends Seen in Gold

This copper price divide mirrors a recent trend in the gold market, where U.S. gold futures traded significantly higher than London spot prices amid tariff-related uncertainty. In response, major banks flew billions of dollars worth of gold bullion from London to New York to capitalize on the pricing gap. [Source]

Investor Opportunities and Risks

For commodities investors, this dislocation between U.S. and international copper prices presents rare arbitrage opportunities. Those able to manage shipping logistics and regulatory hurdles may benefit from the discrepancy, though volatility and transport costs remain risks. [Source]

“This is a trader's dream but a manufacturer's nightmare,” one analyst noted, highlighting how higher copper costs in the U.S. may soon translate into increased production costs for electronics, EVs, and industrial equipment.

Looking Ahead

Industry experts predict copper could hit $12,000 per ton before mid-2025 if the supply-demand imbalance persists and tariffs are formally enacted. [Source]

With global commodities now increasingly impacted by national trade policies, the copper market may continue to serve as a bellwether for broader geopolitical and economic shifts.

Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available information from various online sources. We do not claim absolute accuracy or completeness. Readers are advised to cross-check facts independently before forming conclusions.

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